ST Live  ·  prediction markets  ·  real money, 24/7

AI-Native
Autonomous
Trading

T BOT puts institutional-grade, AI-run investing within reach of anyone — regardless of economic standing or geography. A risk-first system that trades only where the evidence says it has an edge: every lane pays its own fees and AI spend, the books are rebuilt nightly from the exchange, and it reports only the numbers it measures, not invents.

The Ask See how it works →
1Live surface · 4 retired on evidence
14Guard layers on every order
<$5Books vs exchange, nightly
24/7Autonomous operation
● LIVE ST · prediction markets ⚖️ The lane rule · 4 surfaces + a Claude lane retired on evidence 🧾 Books rebuilt nightly from the exchange · within $5 📊 Self-maintaining docs · numbers auto-injected from live data 📱 Native iOS + Android app · OTA · biometric · push 🛡 Intrusion detection · SIEM · SOAR · nightly red team 🛡 Cross-surface risk governor · per-surface circuit breakers ● LIVE ST · prediction markets ⚖️ The lane rule · 4 surfaces + a Claude lane retired on evidence 🧾 Books rebuilt nightly from the exchange · within $5 📊 Self-maintaining docs · numbers auto-injected from live data 📱 Native iOS + Android app · OTA · biometric · push 🛡 Intrusion detection · SIEM · SOAR · nightly red team 🛡 Cross-surface risk governor · per-surface circuit breakers

The Problem

Retail traders are outgunned.

Algorithmic advantage has always lived on institutional balance sheets. Manual trading loses to speed. Static bots lose to regime change. Neither learns. T BOT is different.

⏱

Speed asymmetry

Institutions execute in microseconds; retail reacts in minutes. The edge gap is structural, not skill-based.

📉

Static strategy decay

Most retail bots run fixed parameters. Markets shift, win rates erode, operators panic-adjust on feeling, not data.

🔒

Misaligned fees

Managed funds charge management fees regardless of performance. You pay whether you win or lose.

Why we're building this

Opportunity, not geography.

The "outgunned" gap is widest where it's least talked about — across borders. A trader in Nairobi has the same instincts as one in New York, but not the same access to capital, tools, or markets. T BOT exists to close that gap: institutional-grade, self-calibrating automation in an app simple enough that economic standing and geography stop deciding who gets to grow their money.

🌍

Geography-blind

Runs from anywhere, on the user's own broker — no privileged address, no local desk, no gatekeeper.

⚖️

Standing-blind

The same disciplined engine works whether you start with $100 or $100k — no minimums that quietly exclude.

🤝

Aligned, not extractive

A profit-only fee means we earn only when our subscribers do — built for the underserved, not off them.

Founded by a Kenyan builder — so the kid in Nairobi with a phone has the same shot as the fund in Manhattan.

The Solution

One live surface. Four retired on the evidence.

Every surface is isolated — its own capital, env file, state machine and kill switch — and every lane pays its own exchange fees and AI spend. When the bill exceeds the return, the lane is retired and stays on the dashboard with its record. A Claude prediction lane was retired the same way on 2026-09-24.

ST · short-term● Live

Short-term event markets

Short-dated event contracts: one rules-based live strategy, replayed on settled markets before it went live, behind a 14-layer guard chain. The books are rebuilt nightly from the exchange's own records and must close to its cash within $5.

−$767Lifetime, every surface, rebuilt from the exchange (2026-09-24)
14Guard layers
FX · forex● Retired

OANDA — called 2026-07-05

Of 398 logged FX trades only 41 were real fills, at a profit factor of 0.97. Carry was real but not worth running; momentum was negative in every variant. Killing a surface on evidence is part of the product.

0.97Profit factor · 41 real fills
0Capital at risk since retirement
LT · macro● Retired

Macro event markets

Fed funds, CPI, GDP. Rebuilt from the exchange's own records: 26 real-money markets, 4 won. The model was never validated. Retired 2026-09-24.

−$97.60Real money, net of fees
STK · equities● Retired

IBKR US equities

Re-tested on 20 years of daily prices: the long-only 200-day trend rule trails buy-and-hold by 2.5 to 4.3 points a year on SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA and XLK. Retired 2026-09-24 without risking capital.

$0Capital risked · paper only
CRYPTO · digital● Retired

Kraken spot

Re-tested on 5 years: after a 0.80% round trip, the trend-filtered dip-buy has no coin with a confidence interval above zero; 6 of 9 are negative. Retired 2026-09-24 without risking capital.

$0Capital risked · paper only
INVEST · wealth sleeve● Never funded

Long-hold flywheel

Designed to sweep 25% of trading profit into a buy-and-hold 70% index / 30% quality portfolio. Never funded: it waits on a trading surface that earns more than it costs.

$0Funded to date

How it works

Research → Signal → Execute.

Every surface runs the same five-stage pipeline with no manual intervention. Each stage has an escape hatch, and every order passes the 14-layer guard chain.

1

Scan

Identify opportunities by volume, anomaly, and momentum composite

2

Research

Observations, forecasts and the order book, read per market

3

Predict

Edge + confidence + Kelly sizing through upstream guards

4

Execute

Signed order placement, file-lock dedup, fail-closed safety, real fill

5

Compound

Settlement, P&L, Brier calibration; books rebuilt from the exchange

# Calibration engine
# a live knob moves only after a replay
# against settled markets

ST_ENTRY_THRESHOLD=…   ← replayed, then capped
ST_CITY_FORCE_SKIP=…   ← tripwire-managed

# Shape engines A–H cover every
# calibration type: weight / cap /
# threshold / set / boolean /
# time-window / blocklist / ratio

CALIBRATION_APPLY=operator-gated
SAFE_RESTART_GATE=unit tests pass

Discipline

Calibrated
on evidence.

The calibration engine is built: 23 strategy dimensions, 8 shape engines, every change logged. Since the 2026-09-03 rebuild it runs with the operator in the loop: a live knob moves only after a counterfactual replay against settled markets, and a new edge starts at capped size with a dated verdict.

8 shape engines: weight, cap, threshold, set, boolean, time, blocklist, ratio
Unit-test safety gate before every restart
Every decision logged + notified — Telegram, events, dashboard, audit ledger
Operator escape hatches: freeze, reset, or re-arm any dimension instantly

Transparency

Numbers you can audit.

Most trading products are black boxes. T BOT measures itself in public: every figure in our documents and dashboards is regenerated from live trade logs — not typed by hand, not invented.

Live

Self-maintaining docs

Allocations, the revenue cone, and the realized ledger auto-inject daily from the live snapshot. The doc can't drift from reality.

Logged

Every decision auditable

Each calibration change and trade carries its reasoning to an audit ledger — queryable, reversible, never silent.

Labeled

Measured vs modeled

We label every number: measured (from logs) or modeled (explicit, stated assumptions). Nothing is presented as real that isn't.

Business Model

Aligned incentives. No surprises.

One model, one sentence: subscribers pay a commission only on the profit they actually withdraw. If the bot doesn't make money, neither do we.

15% commission on realized profits — only
✓

High-water mark

We earn nothing until you're above your previous withdrawal peak. Losses carry forward.

✓

Withdrawal-triggered

Commission crystallizes at withdrawal, not mark-to-market. Paper gains never trigger a fee.

✓

90-day beta: zero fee

Early subscribers pay nothing for the first 90 days.

✓

No tiers, no platform fees

No subscriptions, management fees, or seat counts. Pure profit-share.

Projections

Measured engine. Modeled business.

We separate what we measure from what we model, and we never blur the two. The engine's edge is measured live; the business is modeled openly, with every assumption on the table.

Measured — from live trade logs Modeled — explicit, stated assumptions
Subscribers@ 8% return@ 15% return@ 25% return
10$360$675$1,125
50$1,800$3,375$5,625
250$9,000$16,875$28,125
1,000$36,000$67,500$112,500

MODELED · annual commission = subscribers × $10,000 avg capital × net return × 30% withdrawal × 15% fee. The only input meant to be grounded in measurement is net return — and today the measured record is negative (−$767 lifetime across every surface, rebuilt from the exchange; the live ST strategy is the lane being proven now). So the return columns are planning scenarios, not validated baselines: the model shows the structure — revenue is linear in every input, with zero owed when the bot loses. Returns are the gate, and they're earned, not assumed. Offering to subscribers is RIA/custody-regulated; live deployment carries the compliance wrapper.

Security

Enterprise-grade. From day one.

Two external security audits completed; every critical and high finding closed. Defense-in-depth across independent layers.

🔐

Cloudflare mTLS + AOP

Authenticated Origin Pulls — only Cloudflare reaches the origin; direct IP hits fail the handshake.

🔑

Bitwarden vault

Secrets in an isolated vault, rotated vault→CLI→env. Never appear in shell, chat, or logs.

✍️

Signed trade signals

HMAC-SHA256 signed at generation, verified at execution. File-perm 600. Injection vector closed.

🛑

Fail-closed safety

Ambiguous mode flags default to DRY_RUN. The safe state is the default state.

⚡

Circuit breakers

Per-surface NAV/balance breakers with hysteresis, plus a cross-surface risk governor (halt + throttle).

🔄

Guarded auto-deploy

GitHub Actions → droplet via SSH; pre-restart check aborts if any env file is missing.

Audit record: two external security audits completed. All critical and high findings closed; remaining items are deliberate, scheduled hardening — not structural risk.

Traction

Real money. Real orders.

One surface trades real money today; four others and a Claude prediction lane ran and were retired when the evidence said so. Every figure below comes from the exchange's own records, not backtests — at honest, early-stage scale.

−$767Lifetime result, every surface · from the exchange
640+Signals shadow-graded on real settlements
5Lanes retired on evidence
<$5Books vs exchange cash, checked nightly

Roadmap

From proof to platform.

The system is built and live. The path to scale is funded data, a proven live return, and multi-subscriber infrastructure — not new code.

✓
Phase 1 · Complete

Architecture + live deployment

Isolated surfaces, auto-deploy, PM2 cluster, Cloudflare security stack, Bitwarden vault, native mobile app, circuit breakers.

✓
Phase 2 · Complete

Self-calibration + transparency

Autonomous nightly calibration, cross-surface risk governor, self-maintaining docs, audit ledger, two security audits closed.

→
Phase 3 · Now

Prove a profitable live return

Prove the live ST strategy net-positive after fees on the live book, with weekly audited reviews. The return is the gate.

○
Phase 4 · With investment

Capital expansion + subscriber beta

Scale the proven surface, launch the 90-day beta cohort under the 15% HWM model, ship per-subscriber state isolation.

○
Phase 5 · Scale

T BOT as a platform

Full subscriber dashboard, compliance wrapper (RIA/custody), and a signal API for third-party consumers.

Founder

Built for 3 AM. Deeply committed.

K
Ken
Founder & Operator · T BOT

"The infrastructure, the AI stack, the security model, the business model — every line is mine. I'm not building a demo. This is live money, live data, and a system that recalibrates itself every night and reports only what it can measure."

PythonFastAPIClaude AIExchange APIsSIEM / SOARCloudflareDigitalOceanCapacitor

The Ask

Ready to scale.

Seed Round

Capital scales the surface that proves itself, funds capped live tests of new edges, premium data, and multi-subscriber infrastructure. The system is already running — we're raising to prove the live return, not to assume it.

40%

Trading capital

Scale the live ST bankroll to a return-relevant size once the pool clears its verdict, and fund capped live tests of new edges.

35%

Infrastructure & data

Premium market-data feeds, lower-latency execution, redundant failover.

25%

Subscriber platform

Multi-user dashboard, per-subscriber capital isolation, the compliance wrapper, and the HWM commission engine.

Get the term sheet →
Pre-money $2.0M (founder ask · negotiable)

Contact

Let's connect.

Email ken@tbot.trade kenmwara@gmail.com
Web www.tbot.trade/demo