T BOT · tbot.trade

Valuation Summary

As of  2026.06.15
Stage  Pre-Seed / Seed
Contact  ken@tbot.trade
Confidential · Accredited Investors Only
Executive Summary

T BOT is an AI-native autonomous trading system where Claude AI holds decision authority across five isolated surfaces (FX, prediction markets, macro, equities, crypto) plus a long-hold wealth sleeve. Two surfaces run live on real money today; the system self-calibrates nightly with zero human intervention, and every figure it reports — in this document and on its dashboards — is regenerated from live logs, not hand-typed. This is an early-stage, sub-scale system: the engineering and the discipline are proven; the live return is what the raise is meant to prove out. Numbers below are labeled Measured (from logs) or Modeled (stated assumptions).

2.95FX profit factor
BUY-only · n=79
23Self-calibrating
dimensions
5+1Surfaces +
wealth sleeve
100%Numbers auto-
measured from logs
2Security audits
closed
Valuation Framework Modeled

Pre-money basis & ask

A founder's negotiable ask, not a derived fact. We use the Berkus method — a recognised pre-revenue heuristic that scores qualitative assets — because there isn't yet a profit history to value on multiples. Each line is the founder's qualitative estimate; the total is an opening ask for negotiation.

MethodBerkus (pre-revenue)heuristic
Live system & engineeringqualitative2 surfaces live, real money
Self-calibration IPqualitative23 auto-managed dims
Security & transparencyqualitative2 audits, auditable by design
Aligned business modelqualitative15% profit-share, HWM
Founder executionqualitativesolo-built, full stack
Pre-money ask$2.0Mfounder ask · negotiable
Round targetTBDfounder discretion
Use of Proceeds

Capital allocation plan

40%
Trading capital
Fund the IBKR equities surface and scale the live FX + ST bankrolls to a return-relevant size — the gate to proving a real net return.
35%
Infrastructure & data
Premium market-data feeds, lower-latency execution, redundant failover.
25%
Subscriber platform
Multi-user dashboard, per-subscriber capital isolation, the compliance wrapper, the HWM commission engine.
Revenue Model Modeled

Subscriber-base commission

Annual commission = subscribers × $10,000 avg capital × net return × 30% withdrawal × 15% fee. Return is the only input meant to be grounded in measurement — and it's early (FX shows a measured PF of 2.95; the book is sub-scale), so the columns are planning scenarios, not baselines. The point is the structure: linear in every input, zero owed when the bot loses.

Subscribers@ 8%@ 15%@ 25%
10$360$675$1,125
50$1,800$3,375$5,625
250$9,000$16,875$28,125
1,000$36,000$67,500$112,500
Key Investment Terms

Seed term highlights

Round typeSeed (SAFE or equity)
Pre-money$2.0M (ask)
InstrumentFounder discretion
Revenue model15% HWM profit-share
Management feeNone
Investor rightsPro-rata / info rights
Milestone gateProve net-positive live
Exit horizon3–5 years
Full term sheetTBOT_TERM_SHEET_v2.md
Trading Surfaces · Current Status Measured
● STKalshi · ~$576 live
NO-only edge
● FXOANDA · ~$101 USD live
BUY-only · PF 2.95
○ LTKalshi · $2,500 paper
EV-gated macro
○ STKIBKR · $2,500 paper
long-only trend

Plus CRYPTO ($2,500 paper · held to research after the dip-buy edge proved smaller than retail fees) and the INVEST wealth sleeve (sweeps 25% of winning trades into a buy-and-hold index/quality portfolio, benchmarked vs SPY).

Milestone Roadmap
Phase 1 · Done
Architecture & live deploy
Phase 2 · Done
Self-calibration & transparency
Phase 3 · Now
Prove a profitable live return
Phase 4 · Funded
Capital + subscriber beta
Phase 5 · Scale
Platform + compliance wrapper